El País- por Bret Stephens

“Rusia, China e Irán fundamentalmente rechazan la idea de un orden internacional liberal. Rechazan la democracia y los derechos humanos como ideales políticos… Irán se ha aprovechado del caos que siguió a la Primavera Árabe y a la retirada de Estados Unidos de Medio Oriente para armar y envalentonar a sus apoderados como Hamás y Hezbolá.”

Es una lástima que el 80° aniversario del ataque que lanzó Japón contra la base naval de Estados Unidos en Pearl Harbor haya recibido tan poca atención pública. Vivimos en un tiempo que presenta algunas similitudes desagradables con el periodo previo al ataque japonés. Y, estamos perdiendo la capacidad de sorpresa que podría ayudarnos a prevenir o impedir una catástrofe similar en el futuro.

La primera similitud: En tres escenarios separados, Estados Unidos enfrenta a adversarios formidables que tienen designios territoriales agresivos.

La última vez que esto ocurrió fue con Alemania en Europa, Japón en Asia e Italia en el Mediterráneo y África. Ahora, Rusia puede invadir Ucrania pronto en un desafío casi alegre al gobierno del presidente Joe Biden. China, está construyendo una maquinaria bélica para tomar Taiwán y si fuera necesario derrotar a Estados Unidos en una guerra abierta; e Irán, que ha convertido a El Líbano, Siria y partes de Irak, Gaza y Yemen en estados clientes o satrapías, mientras se acerca al umbral de convertirse en un Estado con armas nucleares.

La segunda similitud: En cada caso, el desafío no solo es territorial. Es ideológico.

Rusia, China e Irán fundamentalmente rechazan la idea de un orden internacional liberal. Rechazan la democracia y los derechos humanos como ideales políticos. Ven un Occidente, en el que las libertades individuales conducen a la decadencia moral y a una capacidad disminuida para el sacrificio colectivo.

Creen que el autoritarismo es la ola del futuro y no un atavismo.

La tercera similitud: Los objetivos directos de su agresión son relativamente débiles.

Taiwán tiene planes para incrementar su presupuesto militar, pero en la actualidad apenas gasta el 2% de su Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) en defensa nacional.

Ucrania ha sido desgastada por años de un conflicto de bajo nivel con grupos separatistas respaldados por Rusia, y ni que hablar de la corrupción y la incompetencia que ha definido sus 30 años de vida independiente.

Irán se ha aprovechado del caos que siguió a la Primavera Árabe y a la retirada de Estados Unidos de Medio Oriente para armar y envalentonar a sus apoderados como Hamás y Hezbolá.

La cuarta similitud: Estados Unidos -igual que el Reino Unido, Francia y el propio Estados Unidos en la década de los años 30- es una potencia ambivalente, herida que mira a su interior, y muestra inseguridad respecto de si quiere mantenerse como el garante de la seguridad de los países que se encuentran bajo amenaza.

En 1935, justo antes de que Italia invadiera Abisinia (con esa denominación se le conocía entonces a Etiopía), el semanario británico Punch se mofó de la débil respuesta de Occidente ante la agresión dictatorial, con un poema satírico.

Comparemos eso con algunas de las ideas que ahora son adoptadas o consideradas para castigar a nuestros adversarios.

En lo que respecta a China, Estados Unidos enviará atletas, pero no funcionarios diplomáticos, a los Juegos Olímpicos de Invierno que tendrán lugar en Pekín.

En cuanto a Rusia, el gobierno del presidente Biden considera “bloquear a los oligarcas rusos el uso de tarjetas de crédito Visa y Mastercard”, de acuerdo con lo que ha informado The New York Times.

Y, en relación con Irán, el gobierno estadounidense advierte que está preparado para usar “otras herramientas”, ante la eventualidad de que fracase la diplomacia en el caso del programa nuclear. Es una advertencia que resultaría más ominosa su no hubiera sido parte de la matriz diplomática estadounidense durante casi dos décadas.

La quinta similitud: El equilibrio del poder militar se inclina de manera creciente contra Occidente.

Estados Unidos puede tener aún las Fuerzas Armadas más poderosas y tecnológicamente sofisticadas del mundo, al igual que el Reino Unido tuvo la Marina más grande y Francia un Ejército enorme antes de la Segunda Guerra Mundial. Pero, Estados Unidos se encontrará en dificultades para aplicar el poderío decisivo contra China en una guerra por Taiwán, que China podría intentar ganar con rapidez, mientras pondría al territorio estadounidese en riesgo con su creciente arsenal nuclear. El Pentágono también ha cometido el error de concentrar su poder de fuego en un número pequeño de plataformas costosas y vulnerables, como los portaaviones, en lugar de distribuir su poderío en numerosas plataformas que sean lo “suficientemente buenas”.

En otras palabras, las Fuerzas Armadas de Estados Unidos se han convertido, de alguna manera, en una gran Pearl Harbor -una hilera magnífica de naves de guerra de tamaño imponente, aunque de dudosa utilidad, que están ancladas de manera complaciente en un puerto que imaginamos era seguro.

Algunos líderes todavía quieren restarle importancia a estas analogías históricas, y pueden hacerlo. Vladimir Putin puede ser un autoritario revanchista, pero no es Hitler. China ha buscado la reunificación con Taiwán durante 70 años -eso no significa que quiera su propia versión de una Esfera de Coprosperidad de la Gran Asia Oriental. Irán, con un régimen malevolente, es en el mejor de los casos, una potencia de segundo orden.

Pero no todos los puntos que carecen de similitud con la actualidad son favorables de Occidente. Franklin Roosevelt y Winston Churchill fueron grandes líderes capaces de inspirar la confianza nacional hasta en sus opositores. Joe Biden y Boris Johnson no son capaces de eso. Después de Pearl Harbor, los estadounidenses estaban decididos, de acuerdo con la resonante frase de Roosevelt, a “lograr una victoria absoluta”. ¿Lo lograríamos hoy en día? Y, Occidente demostró que podía responder a sorpresas terribles con sus propias sorpresas, imponiendo costos devastadores a sus enemigos que imaginaron, con torpeza, que Occidente era blando. ¿Es eso lo que seguimos siendo? ¿O lo hemos olvidado – casi como nos hemos olvidado de Pearl Harbor?

(El autor es columnista de The New York Times)

La entrada ¿Occidente puede sorprender? se publicó primero en CCIU.

Fuente: http://www.cciu.org.uy/

¿Occidente puede sorprender?

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    Welcher Baum eignet sich? Leider ist die Mühe des Umsetzens nicht immer erfolgreich, denn viele Topfbäume gehen auch bei guter Pflege
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    dem Verkauf in ein Gefäß gesetzt werden, haben häufig die Wurzeln gelitten und
    die Bäume verdursten trotz ausreichender Wasserversorgung.
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    Heiligabend dürfen Sie den Weihnachtsbaum im Festzimmer aufstellen, wo er nicht mehr als zehn Tage verbleiben sollte.
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    das führt häufig zu Wurzelfäule. Empfehlenswert ist es,
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    dabei darauf, dass keine Flüssigkeit im Untersetzer stehen bleibt.
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    Solche Funktionen können beispielsweise eine extreme Wendigkeit, ein sehr geringes Gewicht und ein geringer Kraftaufwand, um
    sich fortzubewegen sein. Wenn der Alltag nimmer selbständig bewältigt
    werden kann und auch Transfers und Sitzkorrekturen wenige durchgeführt werden können,
    kommt ein Pflegerollstuhl zum Einsatz. Sowohl Fuss-,
    Arm- als auch die Kopfstütze lassen sich verstellen und eine Kippfunktion verändert den Sitzwinkel.
    Diese bieten höchsten Komfort, sind Fett darauf ausgelegt,
    dass eine Person viele Stunden bequem in ihm verbringen kann.
    Durch Verstellen der Rückenlehne kann sogar eine liegende Position hergestellt werden. Das Leben trotz körperlicher Einschränkungen in vollen Zügen zu geniessen ermöglicht ein Elektrorollstuhl.
    Zur Untermauerung der schiebenden Person kann ein Elektromotor ergänzt werden. Ein hoher Sitzkomfort
    und viele Einstellungsmöglichkeiten werden ergänzt durch die
    elektrische Steuerung. Ein Steuerungsmodul ist in die Armlehne
    integriert und ermöglicht es, mit einer Hand ohne grossen Aufwand, den Rollstuhl in alle
    Richtungen zu bewegen. Auch die Geschwindigkeit lässt sich regulieren. Setzen Sie sich mit uns in Verbindung und wir finden gemeinsam heraus,
    welches Modell das passende für Ihre Bedürfnisse ist.
    Wenn ein Kauf interimsmäßig nicht in Frage kommt,
    besteht auch die Möglichkeit, einen Rollstuhl zu
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    Sie haben ihren eigenen Pool. Unter Corona ist das verboten. Die Baustelle liegt auf Eis.

    Den kompletten Maßnahmenkatalog des Tourismusministeriums scheint
    noch keiner gesehen solo. Yesim Yalcin ist Ärztin in Antalya und macht schon ein paar Tage mit
    ihrem Bruder und seiner Frau hier Urlaub.

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    war’s das des Fastenmonats mit Familie und Freunden gefeiert.
    Nicht nur Sevki Erdogan hofft, dass viele Einschränkungen Anfang Juni fallen. Bis Mitte
    Juni warnt die Bundesregierung allerdings alle Deutschen, ins
    Ausland zu reisen. Um deutsche Urlauber trotz Corona wieder in die Türkei zu locken,
    holt die Regierung in Ankara den TÜV ins Boot. Jetzt gerade
    sind seine Hotelzimmer alle leer, nur mehrere der luxuriösen Villen sind belegt.
    Ein Hotelzimmer hätte sie allerdings nicht genommen. Die
    dürfen momentan allerdings nicht benutzt werden. Ferienhäuser werden diese Saison wohl insgesamt mehr gefragt sein.
    Schwimmen und Spazieren am Meer ist verboten. Die Türkei will, dass sie das so weit wie den Sommerferien aufhebt.
    Der Küstenort Kas in der Türkei im Oktober 2019 – damals war die Welt noch frei von Corona.

    Bad unauftrennbar der Zimmer begutachtet. Im kleinen Boutique-Hotel fragen vor allem
    Merih Ciraks Stammgäste, wann sie diese Saison aufmacht.
    Der Hotelchef kann das nur Bahnhof verstehen “Sichtbar werden einige Entscheidungen, die umsonst”, sagt er.
    Ihr Vater bleibt dagegen dabei: Urlaub mit Corona mache keinen Spaß und sei gefährlich.
    Sicher ist das aber nicht.

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  • 2022-03-22 a las 7:30 pm
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    Rolex, Omega, TAG Heuer oder Breitling? Die Auswahl an Luxusuhren Marken ist sehr vielschichtig
    und bevor man sich für eine luxuriöse Armbanduhr
    entscheidet, sollte man vorher genau wissen, was man kauft.
    Auch innerhalb der Marken von Luxusarmbanduhren gibt es große Preisunterschiede.
    Eine vordergründige Eigenschaft (und damit oft auch eine
    wesentliche Kaufentscheidung) von Luxusuhren ist der Preis, welcher bei einigen hundert bis zu mehreren TEUR
    tendieren kann. So kann man eine TAG Heuer Formula 1 Herrenuhr bereits für
    circa 1.000 Euro erstehen, während die Modelle aus der
    TAG Heuer Carrera Serie schnell 4.000 Euro und mehr kosten. Auch bei anderen Luxusuhren-Herstellern wie Longines, Cartier, Maurice Lacroix, Glashütte, Chopard, Junghans oder Hublot an der
    Zeit sein tief ins Portmonee greifen, um sich eine Luxusuhr kaufen zu
    können. Automatikuhren von Tissot oder Certina bekommt bereits ab 500
    Euro. Maßgeblich für den Kaufpreis von Luxus-Armbanduhren ist nun gar Material sowie das Uhrwerk eines teuren Zeitmessers.
    Neben der technischen Komponente spielen natürlich auch
    der Wert und die Exklusivität der Marke einer Luxus-Uhr eine wesentliche Rolle beim Kaufpreis.
    Uhrwerke der Superlative, wie das Chronographen Kaliber 4130 von Rolex dagegen gehören zur absoluten Spitzenklasse und treiben den Preis einer damit ausgestatteten Herren-Luxusuhr schnell auf circa 12.000 Euro.
    Im oberen Ende der Preisskala findet man hier bspw.
    Luxus-Armbanduhren von Patek Philippe, welche
    oft nur im hohen fünfstelligen Preisbereich zu erstehen sind.
    Luxusuhren wie die Perpetual Calendar, Gondolo oder Nautilus gehören mit zu
    den teuersten Luxus-Herrenuhren der Marke und bewegen sich zwischen 30.000 und 70.000 Euro.
    Eine solch teure und luxuriöse Analoguhr ist dann aber gleich mehrere normalere Zeitmesser, sondern oftmals auch eine echte Geldanlage und
    beliebtes Erbstück in der Familie.

  • 2022-03-22 a las 7:37 pm
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    Dazu schneiden Sie neben anderen die Fräse vorsichtig zwischen Mauer und Fensterrahmen lang.
    Denken Sie dabei daran, dass die Ankerpratzen aus Metall mit
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    eine glatte Fläche für den Einbau der neuen Fenster durchführbar.
    Hängenbleiben: Den Spachtel trocknen lassen, bevor es weiter geht.
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    Spachtelmasse ausgleichen. Die Schritte, die wir vorher verbrochen haben, müssen nun in umgekehrter Reihenfolge wiederholt werden.
    Nachfolgend befestigen Sie das Dekompressionsdichtband außen am Fensterrahmen. Wir fangen hiermit
    Fensterrahmen an. Dazu müssen die Fensterflügel wie oben beschrieben entfernt werden. Mit
    „außen” sind die Kanten gemeint, die später Richtung Fenstersturz und Fensterlaibungen zeigen werden. Das
    Dekompressionsdichtband dehnt sich in richtung Wand aus und sorgt später für eine gute Abdichtung.
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    schnell kann man sich bei einem Sturz schwer verletzen, nur weil ein Stein vom Schnee bedeckt war.
    Übrigens: Wer sich nicht ausweisen kann, hat leider mit Strafzetteln, also Bußgeldern zu rechnen. Vielerorts ist mittlerweile eine Helmpflicht in Kraft getreten. Das bedeutet,
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    ist. Zudem wird in vielen Skiorten der für Schüler, Studenten und Rentner vergünstigte Skipass nur mehr nach Vorlage
    eines entsprechenden, offiziellen Ausweises verkauft.
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    Kopf nicht so schwerwiegend werden, wenns tatsächlich einmal zu einem Sturz kommt, sollte ein Helm getragen werden. Wird diese nicht
    eingehalten, kann es zu drastischen Ordnungsstrafen, also Bußgeldern, kommen. Das muss
    bloß nicht sein, oder? Helmpflicht: Es herrscht richtig, dass ein Helm
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    Auf der Berliner Maker Faire fiel im Oktober 2016 mit einem
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    um gemeinsam, aber nutzerzentriert Ideen für Add-ons zu sammeln, die das Leben hiermit Rollstuhl einfacher machen. Als inhaltliche Schwerpunkte
    wurden nach der Ideenfindung Transport und Stauraum, Fahren im Schnee
    und Beleuchtung ausgewählt, um mehr Sicherheit und Mobilität bei schwierigen Verkehrsverhältnissen zu ermöglichen. Zu
    den getesteten Produkten zählten ferner Schneeketten, LED-Leuchten und Anhänger.
    Da die fertigen Anleitungen mit möglichst geringem finanziellen und zeitlichen Aufwand umgesetzt und angepasst
    werden sollen, setzten sich schließlich die Beleuchtung (Open Lights)
    und der Anhänger (Open Trailer) bei den Projektteilnehmern durch.
    Zu einem späteren Zeitpunkt wurden die Projekte in mehreren Workshops ausprobiert und überarbeitet, während das Fablab Berlin jeweils die Herstellung
    der Prototypen übernahm. Hiermit Anhänger am Rollstuhl wird es
    einfacher, eine Begleitung oder schwere, unhandliche Dinge zu transportieren. Die Lichter führen mehr Sichtbarkeit im Straßenverkehr.
    Basierend auf Adafruits Neopixeln und dem Mikrocontroller
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  • 2022-03-22 a las 10:48 pm
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